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Trend signalsThe same public model, for everyone

What our model's rule says about each ETF.

Uptogain publishes one transparent, rules-based trend model. It holds an ETF only while its momentum is positive, sizes each position by inverse volatility, and rebalances monthly — the same way for every asset in its universe. Pick a ticker to see how the rule applies to it. This is general information, not personalized advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.

The published universe

The 15 liquid ETFs the model can hold, grouped by role. Each page describes the rule as it applies to that ticker — the live target weights are on the strategy and record pages.

US Equity

3 ETFs

core growth exposure — the engine of long-run return, held while its trend is intact.

Intl Equity

2 ETFs

diversification away from a single home market, added only when its own trend turns up.

Bonds

4 ETFs

the ballast the sleeve rotates toward when risk assets break their trend — a place to wait, not a bet.

Commodities

4 ETFs

a real-asset and inflation hedge that earns a slot only during genuine, sustained upmoves.

Real assets

1 ETF

income-oriented real-asset exposure, held while trending and stepped aside when it isn't.

Cash / FX

1 ETF

a defensive, cash-like line the model can lean on when very little else is trending.

One rule, applied the same way to all of them

There is no per-ticker judgment call and no personalized view. The same public rule runs across the whole universe.

Hold only what's trending

Each ETF is held only while its 3-, 6-, and 12-month momentum is positive. Winners are kept; laggards are dropped.

Long or flat, never short

A broken trend means a weight of zero — never a short, never leverage. The weight rotates to cash or short-term treasuries.

Reviewed monthly

Positions are inverse-volatility weighted and reviewed once a month. A few trades — no day-trading, no overnight surprises.

No live per-ticker signal is published here.These pages explain the rule, not this month's call on any one ETF. The model's current target allocation is on the strategy page, and its week-by-week paper results are on the record page. There is no real-money track record — everything shown is backtested or paper, and labeled as such.